Local By-Elections 09 July 2015

WAP

This week saw an array of local council by elections which generally confirmed the recent patterns. No seats changed hands and incumbency won the day, although this was a technicality in The Scottish seat in North Lanarkshire as the seat was held by an SNP finishing third in the previous election where three members were elected, however Labour actually has far more votes last time. The results are as follows, with the ward name followed by the Council the ward is for in brackets.

Thorniewood (North Lanarkshire) Scottish National Party 1,555 (47% +23%), Labour 1,410 (43% -28%), Conservative 149 (5% unchanged), Scottish Socialist Party 81 (2%, no candidate in 2012), Green 51 (2%, no candidate in 2012), Scottish Christian Party 33 (1%, no candidate in 2012), UKIP 29 (1%, no candidate in 2012) – SNP Hold Swing (Compared to average of the 3 candidates last time) Lab-SNP 25.5%

Morfa Nefyn (Gwynedd) Plaid Cymru 315 (72% -5%), Llais Gwynedd 123 (28% +5%) – Plaid Cymru Hold Swing Plaid-Llais 5%

Brentford (Houndslow) Labour 1,292 (54% +8%), Conservatives 664 (28% +13%), Green 209 (9% -4%), Liberal Democrat 116 (5% -1%), UKIP 113 (5% -7%) – Lab hold Swing Lab-Con 2.5%

Central ST Leonards (Hastings) Labour 481 (44% -9%), Conservative 259 (24% +11%), Indepedent 184 (17% +10%), UKIP 77 (7% -9%), Green 75 (7% -1%), Liberal Democrat 17 (2% -1%) – Lab Hold Swing Lab-Con 10%

ST Helens (Hastings) Conservative 663 (44% +4%), Labour 557 (37% +3%), Liberal Democrat 136 (9% +5%), UKIP 120 (8% -14%), Green 48 (3%, no candidate in 2014) – Con Hold Swing Lab-Con 0.5%

Old Hastings & Tressel (East Sussex) Labour 961 (57% +8%), Conservative 368 (22% +6%), UKIP 174 (10% -12%), Green 149 (9% +1%), Liberal Democrat 48 (3% -1%) – Lab Hold Swing Con-Lab 1%

Spring Hill (Hyndburn) Labour 778 (55% +5%), Conservative 475 (34% unchanged), UKIP 137 (10% -6%), Green 17 (1%, no candidate in 2014) – Lab Hold Swing Con-Lab 2.5%

Newton (Sandwell) Labour 1,152 (59% +14%), Conservative 452 (23% +8%), UKIP 310 (16% -14%), Green 36 (2%, no candidate in 2014) – Lab Hold Swing Con-Lab 3%

Projected National share of the vote based on last 20 local by elections

Con 36% Lab 34% UKIP 11.1% LD 11% Green 3.9%

Conclusion

All in all nothing much appears to have changed. generally small swings have been the pattern so far with the exception of Scotland, where the SNP are still in total control. Things will change once Labour and the Lib Dems have a new leader in place, right now though I expect more of the same in the coming weeks.

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