By Elections 30th July & Com Res poll

WAP

BY ELECTIONS

There were 5 local by elections this Thursday. It showed the SNP still dominate in Scotland with 2 big wins in Aberdeen. The Tories gained an Independent seat in North Kesteven and scored a 6% swing against the May result on the same day as the general Election against Labour in Droitwich in the West Midlands in a good night for them. The Lib Dems were not really competitive in any of the seats up, Labour had a poor night across the board.

MOON OF LIBERTY ELECTION SCOREBAORD

Kincorth, Nigg & Cove (Aberdeen) SNP 1939 Lab 606 Con 313 LD 207 Green 114SNP Hold – Swing from May 2012 Lab-SNP 22.8%

Hilton, Woodside & Stockethill (Aberdeen) SNP 1690 Lab 771 Con 350 Green 130 LD 125SNP Hold – Swing from May 2012 Lab-SNP 19.7%

North Hykeham Mill (N Kesteven) Con 286 Ind 180 Lab 161 Green 64 LD 22CON GAIN from Lincs Ind – Swing n/a

College (Northumberland) Lab 508 UKIP 102 LD 82 Con 39Lab Hold – No UKIP candidate last time swing n/a

Droitwich East, (Wychavon) Con 495 Lab 175 UKIP 171 LD 108Con hold – Swing From May 2015 Lab-Con 6%

National Projected share based on last 20 by elections – Con 34.1% Lab 29.8% LD 16% UKIP 9.9% Green 3.8%

COM RES POLL

Communicate Research have released their first Voting Intention poll and find with Labour still in the midst of their leadership contest the Tories 12% ahead. Labour’s position is stronger in the North-West where perhaps there is still hope Andy Burnham, who is from Liverpool and based in the North-West constituency of Leigh, will still win. Almost everywhere else Labour are struggling and the Tories are doing better than their May result. Com Res have the SNP on 54% in Scotland on figures that would have them taking all but Dumfrieshire that would remain with the Conservatives. The regional breakdowns on the current boundaries would give the Conservatives an overall majoirty of 58 based on these figures.

MOON OF LIBERTY POLL SCOREBOARD

Com Res poll 28/07/2015

Vote Share – Con 40% Lab 28% UKIP 10% LD 7% Green 5%

Regional Seat Projection – Con 354 Lab 207 LD 9 SNP 58 Plaid Cymru 3 Green 1 Northern Ireland 18

CONSERVATIVE OVERALL MAJORITY OF 58

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