Moon of Liberty Editorial – Brexit & The Trump Wing

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Editorial – Reflections of the Moon

Brexit – It’s the outcome that matters

The process of the UK leaving the EU is in a precarious position. Despite their being in my view not a shred of evidence the decision to leave the EU being a mistake, for some reason those who want to block the process from happening are appearing more confident. Much of this is to do with splits in the cabinet, with Chancellor Phillip Hammond calling for a 3 year transition period and Trade secretary Liam Fox declaring free movement of people, which would be part of any such arrangement, must end in 2019.

Meanwhile post the failure of Prime Minister Theresa May to win a majority, she looks powerless to stop the cabinet battles, which are a proxy for what they see as the inevitable leadership contest to come, from going on around her. Ultimately while these day to day machinations will fascinate the press, what actually matter is the final outcome. Expect the process to continue slowly until the final moment when, as is the EU way, the path to a deal will suddenly speed up.

Whatever happens in the deal, or whether there is no deal, no option is in my view worse than remaining in the EU, the consequences will be in effect accepting the Superstate the EU wants to move to and the end of a Free Britain. This is far more important than the wranglings in the run up, the final outcome is what matters and the defeat of those wanting to stop the process is essential to ensure we remain in a free country in whatever form it ends up.

The Trump Wing

Fans of the Drama series ‘The West wing’ could be forgiven for thinking the current US administration is another series of their favourite entertainment show. The President’s health care plan is voted down by a member of his own party after being diagnosed with brain cancer. Two members of the administration leave within days. Never ending controversy via the President’s twitter feed. It is a script any top drama script writer would have issues making up. 

The only thing President Trump has in his favour is that it is debatable if there is anyone in the Democrat Party who can seriously take in on and he continues to have an army of support who will dismiss any bad news as fake new or mad up by the media. As bizarre as this White House looks, can a second trump victory in 2020 be ruled out? No it can’t. Talk of him being impeached over something like the Russian issue is likely overblown, the Democrats must think hard if they are to come up with a way to oust him, it will be more difficult than many believe.

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Moon Of Liberty Editorial -The next Brexit battles

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Reflections Of The Moon

The next Brexit battles

Last week saw an historic turn of events. Nearly 500 MP’s voted to start the process of Leaving the European Union, something until a very short time ago would have been unthinkable. Regardless of if you thought that vote should have occurred or not (and I don’t), it was unquestionably an historic moment. Does that mean it is all over? No, there could still be battles in the House of Lords to come, although the size of the Commons majority and the threat of future sanction if the unelected house tries to stand in the way of the will of the public Referendum makes that less likely.

Some key battles will come this week in the commons however. Last weeks vote was only the second reading, this week will see the committee and report stages as well as a final (for now anyway) 3rd reading vote. It could come back to the Commons at the end if the Lords ask the Commons to look at some of their amendments. These stages allow MP’s to table their own amendments to add to the bill. Many amendments on all sides have been tables, from the SNP the Lib Dems and the Labour side. Not all will be considered, that will be for the Speaker John Bercow and his team to decide. Given how Bercow has operated however, the more contentious ones will likely be chosen and debated.

Two serious possibilities will be to guarantee the rights of foreign nationals already here and a debate on the terms of the vote Parliament will get at the end of the process. As for the foreign nationals issue, it is unlikely a deal on this will not be done in the negotiation, or separately if there is no free trade deal. This would be a difficult one for the Government to weigh up, ideally this is still a negotiating card the Government would like to keep, however there is a majority in the commons to get it through if the MP’s really want to push for it. It is not inconceivable that if the Government thought they may lose, they could conceded this anyway. I support all foreign nationals right to stay here and have no problem with this getting through. Indeed, the good will it would create may create the conditions for a better deal in the end to be obtained.

The other battle over the type of vote is more complex and could prove more important.. The Government’s position is that if there is a deal, Parliament will vote for the deal or for no deal. But what if there is just no deal? For most this would be a case of tough luck, however those desperate to stay in the single market sense an opportunity here. If there is no deal surely Parliament should have the opportunity to accept an alternative to no deal.. Theresa May has said as far as she is concerned no deal is better than a bad deal. That means trade returning to WTO rules. By pushing their amendment those pro the single market hope to keep their hope alive by forcing a vote in which the alternative would either be the EEA option, or worse still for those more cynical of the motives of some of those MP’s, there is the other option of this being a back door way of staying in the EU, as Tim Farron has proposed as the alternative in his Referendum.

It is tough to say whether any amendment based on an alternative vote could get through. In theory there may be enough Tory rebels, but some Labour MP’s will be against it as well and accounting for abstentions and perhaps the DUP backing the Government, it would still be a tough ask to win the vote. If this is called by the speaker it is one the Government must fight, their position of bi lateral deal or no deal is the right one for this country and it’s negotiation and the executive must not lose control of the terms of the final vote as it could hand those who still hope Brexit won’t happen a small window of opportunity. The Government has set out the right course, this week could see attempts to blow it off course, this must not happen. Battles this week may in the long run prove more important than last weeks vote.

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Moon Of Liberty Newsround – 24th Jan 2017

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News Digest – 24th January 2017 @ 4.15 pm

CNN – Senator’s John McCain and Lindsay Graham will vote for Secretary of State nominee Rex Tillerson

Voice of Europe – Campaign to stop operations of George Soros hot up in Macedonia

Comment – Why Labour should hold Copeland & Stoke Central – Glen O’Hara

The Wrap – Chelsea Clinton defends Trump’s youngest child Barron

Foreign Policy – Russia and Syria sign deal giving Russian ships and aircraft access to the middle east

CNN – President Trump signs order banning NGO’s offering abortion services from getting US federal funds

BBC News – Trump signs order to withdraw from TPP trade negotiations

Heat Street – US Feminists outraged at Taylor Swift not attending the ‘Women’s March’

Keoland News – Former New Mexico Congresswoman Heather Wilson to be head of the US Air Force

BBC News – UK Supreme Court rules Parliament must decide Article 50 timing

Daily Telegraph – Poll finds majority of Brits disagree with Supreme Court decision on Article 50

NBC News – Complete list of OSCAR Nominations, La La Land leads the way with 14

Independent – British Startup is using artificial intelligence to compose music

CNN – Paul Ryan invites Donald Trump to address joint session of Congress

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Moon Of Liberty Newsround – 15th January 2017

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News Digest – 15th January 2017 @ 10.25 pm

The Guardian – UK Chancellor Phillip Hammond suggests UK could become a low tax haven if there is no single market access

Fox News – Nigel Farage on why Brexit and Donald Trump are winning

The Moon Of Liberty/Winning At Politics – Polling update from Survation & Opinium

Irish Times – Donald Trump may invite talk show hosts and bloggers to press conferences

Sky News – Education company co founded by Jeremy Hunt for sale for £35 million

Independent – Theresa May to say she is willing to leave the Single Market in upcoming Brexit speech

ABC News – 19 Democrat congressman to boycott Trump inauguration 

ABC News – Reince Priebus says it remains to be seen if Iran nuclear deal will hold

NBC News – US Supreme Court to take case that could affect the Washington Redskins name

Facebook Comment – Despite ‘humanitaria crisis’ people say the health service is improving – John Rentoul

Manchester Evening News – Son of late magician Paul Daniels arrested over cannabis factory

Telegraph – Inside newly liberated Mosul university, Islamic State still exist

Daily Express – Trump set for tense clash with Jean Claude Juncker over EU Army

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Moon Of Liberty Newsround – 14th jan 2017

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News Digest – 14th January 2017 @ 9.20 pm

The Sun – New Zealand Prime Minister Bill English gives Britain a Brexit boost with regard to trade deal after meeting with Theresa May

Daily Mail – EU chief negotiator Michel Barnier concedes he wants a special deal with London on financial services

CapX Comment – The EU Customs Unions is a protectionist racket – Ryan Bourne

Fox News – Vatican seeking youth input ahead of Bishop’s meeting

Telegraph – Queen is saddened by the death of Lord Snowdon

Spectator Comment – Michael Gove was accidentally right about experts – Fraser Nelson

The Sun – Theresa May vows to end European Court of Justice role in Britain

The Guardian – Green MEP Jean Lambert explains why she is standing for President of the European Parliament

Fox News – Family Feud host Steve Harvey meets Donald Trump to discuss policy on inner cities

New Statesman – How many more Labour MP’s could follow Tristram Hunt’s lead and resign?

Washington Examiner – DC National Guard commander will be forced out by Inauguration Day

Associated Press – Drone Schools look to woo younger pilots

ABC News – ‘Black Swan’ exercises taking place to practice in case of a US National emergency

The Sun – The best and worse UK banks for hidden charges

BBC News – Dozens die in IS attack on Dier Al-Zour in Syria

Sky News – Investors breathe life into the Green Deal scheme axed by UK ministers

Reuters – Officials say there are big risks in Donald Trump’s feud with security agencies

Newsweek Comment – Don’t kid youselves, Donald Trump is winning – Matthew Cooper

ABC News – Three Cleveland offices face charges after investigation into shooting of Tamir Rice

Bloomberg – Donald Trump promises a report on hacking within 90 days of taking office

Washington Journal – Parent of special needs child explains the difficulties of educating her son in US public schools

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Moon Of Liberty Newsround – 13th Jan 2017

Blue_Moon2News Digest 13th Jan 2017 @ 9.30 pm

Institute of Economic Affairs video – Jeremy Corbyn’s maximum wage ‘an absolutely terrible idea’

The Moon Of Liberty/Winning At Politics – Thursday’s local by election round up

Fox News – Rosie O’Donnell calls for martial law to stop Donald Trump’s inauguration

Bloomberg – Deutsche Bank says Brexit is driving up Berlin house prices

Sky News – Nationwide eyes £2.7bn sale of property arm assets

BBC News – Exorcist writer William Peter Blatty dies aged 89

Independent – Tristram Hunt is named new V&A director amid concerns they will start charging

NBC News – US Congress moves a step closer to repealing Obamacare

Irish Times – CIA prepares for unprecedented challenges that a Donald Trump Presidency could bring

London Evening Standard – Top public schools team up with Tottenham Hotspur FC to create a new sixth form

Order Order – The Daily Politics guide to Brexit

Independent – McDonalds to hand out thousands of free meals to the homeless

BBC News – MP Tristram Hunt resigns to become V&A museum director, forcing a by election in Stoke On Trent

Daily Express – Donald Trump predicts the end of the EU as aides ask which nations will be next to leave

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Moon Of Liberty Newsround – News Digest

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News Digest – 12th January 2017 @ 10.40 pm

New Statesman Comment – Jeremy Corbyn’s internal critics have a perfect diagnosis, but no cure – Stephen Bush

Telegraph – George Soros loses £1 billion betting against Trump

Daily Express – ISIS warlord confirmed dead in President Obama’s final kill

Telegraph – Professor Silver who made complaint against Amber Rudd’s conference speech, admits he has not even heard it

Reuters – Marine Le Pen seen at Trump Towers

BBC News – Visa free residency for Cubans in the US to end

Fox News – Amazons sees rapid growth, plans 100,000 new US jobs

RTE News – President Obama awards Vice-President Joe Biden the US Medal Of Freedom in surprise ceromony

Bloomberg – Donald Trump hires another executive from Goldman Sachs

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