Elections & Polling numbers

WAP

UK 2020 General Election Polls & Projections

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MOON OF LIBERTY POLL SCOREBOARD

Blue_Moon2

HEADLINE VOTING INTENTION

Current UK Polls

Vote Share (Updated 04/03/2017)

UK VOTE SHARE FOR EACH POLL (Most recent)

YouGov (28/02/2017) – Con 42% Lab 25% UKIP 12% LD 11% Green 4% – Con lead 17%

ICM (20/02/2017) – Con 44% Lab 26% UKIP 13% LD 8% Green 4% – Con lead 18%

Opinium (13/02/2017) – Con 40% Lab 27% UKIP 14% LD 7% Green 5% – Con lead 13%

Survation (14/01/2017) – Con 39% Lab 29% UKIP 13% LD 10% Green 2% – Con lead 10%

Ipsos-Mori (18/02/2017) – Con 40% Lab 29% UKIP 8% LD 13% Green 4% – Con lead 11%

Communciate Research (11/02/2017) – Con 41% Lab 26% UKIP 11% LD 11% Green 4% – Con lead 15%

MOON OF LIBERTY POLL OF POLLS UK VOTE SHARE (Only includes polls within the last 3 months)

Con 41% Lab 27% LD 10.2% UKIP 12% Green 3.8% – Con lead 14%

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SEAT PROJECTION

Seat Projection (Updated 04/03/2016)

REGIONAL BREAKDOWN SEATPROJECTION FOR EACH POLL (Most Recent based on projected new boundaries)

YouGov (28/02/2017) – Con 381 Lab 143 LD 6 SNP47 Plaid Cymru 3 UKIP 1 Green 1 Northern Ireland 18

Con Majority of 162

ICM (20/02/2017) – Con 389 Lab 141 LD 8 SNP 34 Plaid Cymru 3 UKIP 1 Green 1 Northern Ireland 18

Con Majority of 176

Survation (14/01/2017) – Con 349 Lab 176 LD 5 SNP48 Plaid Cymru 3 UKIP 1 Green 1 Northern Ireland 18

Con Majority of 98

Ipsos-Mori (18/02/2017) – Con 346 Lab 177 LD 14 SNP 40 Plaid Cymru 3 UKIP 1 Green 1 Northern Ireland 18

Con Majority of 92

Communicate Research (11/02/2017) – Con 381 Lab 143 LD 5 SNP 48 Plaid Cymru 3 UKIP 1 Green 1 Northern Ireland 18

Con Majority of 162

MOON OF LIBERTY REGIONAL AVERAGE POLL OF POLLS SEAT PROJECTION (Updated 24/03/2017) (Only includes polls within the last 3 months)

Con 369 Lab 157 LD 8 SNP 43 Plaid Cymru 3 UKIP 1 Green 1 Northern Ireland 18

Con Majority of 138

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LOCAL ELECTIONS

Local by-elections (Updated 12/03/2017)

Local By Elections – Projected national UK share (Based on the last 20 local by elections fought by each party)

Con 35.1% L9b 29.1% LD 20.4% UKIP 6.8% SNP 4.4% Green 2.2% – Con lead 6%

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