Local by Election Round-Up
It was a big week for Labour in this week’s local by elections. They made three gains with big vote share increases in Worthing, Margate and Swale. The reason for these big wins will also vindicate Jeremy Corbyn’s approach to Brexit as all three victories came as a result of Labour taking the bulk of the collapsing UKIP vote, or in the case of the Worthing gain against the Conservatives, taking the bulk of a large UKIP vote where the party did not stand. The evidence is leave referendum voters have been driving these victories, which follows on from the General Election where Labour took far more leave voters than many expected, a key part of why we ended up with a Hung Parliament. a dilemma for those critical of Corbyn and who want a more pro-EU line from Labour.
The Conservative did not see huge vote share drops and made a technical gain from Labour in Kings Lynne where the Labour councillor elected in second place in a multi member ward last time stood down, and the Tories who had most votes in the ward last time overall, maintained that to take the seat. The is why though there was a small swing to Labour, it was still a Conservative gain.
One trend that continues from the General election is than the two big parties remain dominant. UKIP’s collapse drove this weeks result but the Lib Dems are making no progress at all and the small Green vote collapsed where they stood this week too. The era of two party politics appears to be here to stay for the time being.
Labour’s big week sees them move in front on projected UK vote share for the first time since Corbyn became leader. They lead the Tories by 0.9% after this weeks results. All the current up to date numbers can be found on the Elections and Polling numbers page.
MOON OF LIBERTY ELECTION RESULTS
Local by Elections 05/08/2017
Loughborough Spelthorpe (Charnwood) – Lab 595 Con 591 LD 92 UKIP 29 – Lab Hold – Swing (May 2015) Con-Lab 2.8%
Marine (Worthing) – Lab 1032 Con 846 LD 246 Green 55 – LAB GAIN FROM CON – Swing (May 2016) Con-Lab 17.1%
Margate Central (Thanet) – Lab 454 Con 190 UKIP 52 LD 33 Ind 24 Green 23 Ind 13 – LAB GAIN FROM UKIP – Swing (May 2015) UKIP-Lab 24.5%
Milton Regis (Swale) – Lab 573 Con 255 UKIP 151 LD 86 – LAB GAIN FROM UKIP – Swing (May 2015) UKIP-Lab 19.8%
Penshurst, Fordscombe & Chiddingstone (Sevenoaks) – Con 438 LD 253 Lab 54 – Con Hold – Swing (May 2015) LD-Con 2.6%
St Margarets & St Nicholas (Kings Lynne & W Norfolk) – Con 253 Lab 210 LD 173 Green 63 –CON GAIN FROM LAB – Swing (May 2015 top vote) Con-Lab 1.7%