Moon of Liberty Newsround

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Moon Of Liberty Newsround – on 07th August at 11.05 pm

The Times – Momentum activists take over Chris Leslie’s constituency of Nottingham East

CBS News – Trump defends national security adviser McMaster after calls for his sacking

NBC News – Piano that survived the Holocaust to be an exhibit in Israel museum

Moon of Liberty Opinion/Editorial – Energy markets and the Trump Administration – Kevin Alcock

NBC News – Vladimir Putin poses for the cameras while fishing on vacation

Spectator Opinion – Why Amber Rudd will likely get Ruth Davidson’s endorsement for any future Tory leadership contest – James Forsyth

Daily Telegraph – Kenya fears return to bloodshed with upcoming election

Sky News – Biggest earthquake in 30 years hits the Scottish Highlands

BBC News – Irish PM wants no barriers to free trade post Brexit

BBC News – North and South Korea to open talks

BBC News – National Trust U-Turn over LBGT badges

Moon Of Liberty/Winning at Politics – Local by elections round-up on a good night for Labour at UKIP’s expense

The Hill – FBI monitored social media on election day for fake news from Russia

Daily Mirror – Labour MP Chris Williamson rejects case to sanction Venezuela and attacks the US ‘shady record

Antisemitism UK – Labour selects by election candidate who has tweeted antismetic content

Conservative Home opinion – Being the workers party means being the party of low taxes – Rob Halfon MP

ABC News – John McCain says he believes he will be ready to go back to work in September

The Independent – Grand Jury set up to investigate president Trump’s links to Russia

Irish Times – Lobbyist says Republicans and Democrats need to work together if they want US immigration reform

The Australian – Australian Senator Hatch vows to block any same sex marriage referendum attempt

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Moon Of Liberty Politics – Editorial – The Owen Smith dilemma

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Moon Of Liberty Editorial Opinion

THE OWEN SMITH DILEMMA

The Labour Party is now facing a dilemma. They resigned on mass, forced a vote of no confidence in Jeremy Corbyn, and have ended up with a leadership challenger who policy wise is not that far away from the man himself. Owen Smith wants to re-introduce the 50% tax rate that loses the treasury money, wants to spend, spend spend on this that and everything just like Corbyn. His 20 point policy plan released today beings with a chilling promise to concentrate on ‘equality of outcome rather than equality of opportunity.’ He also want to reverse all the corporation and inheritance tax cuts promised as well as a new ‘wealth tax’ on the top 1% of earners.

This is not the policy platform of a moderate, the problem for Labour moderates now is that having gone through the whole process of fighting for the right for the chance to remove Corbyn, they now have to pretend Smith is a moderate. This will be fueled by Corbyn’s supporters who will laughably claim Smith is a Blairite as a tactic to try and win the election, or worse, some of them may actually believe it.

So what if Smith wins? There is clearly no way he can win a General election any more than Corbyn can. Smith is further left than Ed Miliband, possibly considerably so. His appeal will still be far too narrow. Yet that election defeat for Smith will be depicted by Corbyn’s supporters as a defeat for the ‘moderates.’ simply through anger that Corbyn was removed. If Smith becomes leader and loses a General Election the Unions, Momentum and Corbyn’s other supporters will revel with glee in a ‘we told you so’ attitude which could move Labour into hard left territory for much longer than if they just let Corbyn crash and burn and then hope to regroup afterwards. Real Labour moderates have a huge dilemma, the consequences of an Owen Smith win could be even worse than Corbyn hanging on. This is not what the coup intended, but it is what it has got.

Moon Editorial – 2015 & the Political tales of the unexpected

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2015 – Political Tales of the Unexpected

This time last year we were all looking ahead to the 2015 General Election with great uncertainty. The polls depending on how you read them could have pointed to virtually any result you like, something that continued right up until polling day, except of course a Tory overall majority, the one that actually happened. And even more than that, nobody could have predicted in the light of defeat, what the Labour Party would do next.

2015 was the year in politics where all conventional wisdom has been proved wrong and thrown out of the window. The Governing Party had not increased it’s vote share or number of seats since Anthony Eden led the Tories in 1955. This was the same party who has not won an overall majoirty since 1992, to do so in May 2015 was surely too much to ask? And surely the Liberal Democrat incumbency factor would ensure the Lib Dems are not wiped out? And the banking crash had moved the political center to the left hadn’t it? This should help Labour, even on a more left wing platform, get the win? And surely the SNP would not really sweep all before them in Scotland when it came down to it?

Wrong, wrong and wrong again.The key moment just after midnight when a pro Tory swing in Swindon came through was the moment I knew the Tories had won, probably with a majority. By now it was clear the SNP had swept Labour aside in Scotland. This was before key seats like Nuneaton and the Tories most marginal seat against Labour, North Warwickshire had been announce. Although at this point I knew what was coming through my twitter feeds and searches that both of these seats had been won by the Tories, I was also getting first indications that David Laws could lose Yeovil, and if the Lib Dems can lose Yeovil, I knew they were vulnerable almost everywhere. The majority was now probable, and so it proved.

And we end 2015 with another scenario nobody could have foreseen in regards to David Cameron himself. All the predictions this time last year were he could lose the election and if not he would be in a very awkward position by now. Even after the majority on election night, thoughts turned immediately to John Major’s small majority. Backbench troubles and a Labour party renewing itself after defeat would be causing Cameron endless problems by now wouldn’t they?.

And yet, despite some mistakes a decent Labour Party could have exploited (Tax Credits, Splits over Europe) here we are and the truth is Cameron is as safe as houses. Given he has said he will stand down before 2020 I suspect even the EU Referendum will not cause as much trouble as some suggest even if it does not go his way, he is going anyway, maybe it will force him to go a bit earlier, no big deal. He is also facing the most left wing opposition maybe in history. Many will argue they are not really an opposition at all and they would in many ways have a point. Even up until about a week before the leadership election I still believed common sense may prevail and Yvette Cooper may pull the win out of the bag. Instead Labour followed though with it’s collective Twitter led meltdown and elected Jeremy Corbyn. Nobody can be sure where that decision will leave us by the time the whole scenario plays out.

Labour are now with a leader their Parliamentary Party don’t want. They have the hard left joining in numbers and moderates leaving the party. Groups like Momentum have been formed to try and take over the party machine and see moderates out. it is said Corbyn is about to re-shuffle his Shadow Cabinet to move it further to the left to remove dissenters. Corbyn also has the full backing of the Social Media groups who supported him in September. Despite this Labour are doing very badly in local by election, are well behind in the polls and Corbyn has unprecedentedly poor personal ratings along with having given an array of terrible PMQ’s performances. ┬áModerates are clearly unsure what to do. Can they remove Corbyn? Should they, and can they be certain they will not unleash something much worse if they do given Corbyn’s support within the wider movement? If they don’t act soon, by 2020 will it be all too late?

There is lot’s to look forward to in 2016 politically, with lot’s of elections to come along as well. I will look ahead in another post shortly. 2015 has truly been a tale of the political unexpected. And yet as I have written about before, there were many clues there in the polls behind the headline figures, and the increased venom of the social media left in the run up to May also suggested that in terms of their response to defeat, the pointers were also available. Hindsight is of course a wonderful thing, it makes it all look so obvious in retrospect. At the time none of us saw this year coming with constant twists worthy of Roald Dahl.