Local by Elections
9th March Local by Election round-up
This weeks seven by Elections continued the general trends we have seen. The Tories had a very good night on the whole, their gain from Labour in Waltham Cross, Broxbourne was the third week in a row they had made a gain from Labour. Victory in Derwent in Derby shows continued strength in a marginal area of North Derby and although the gain was technically from UKIP due to this being a rolling ward that elects 3 members over 3 years, Labour won the ward in 2015 & 2016 so was as god as another victory against Labour as well.
The Lib Dems got one excellent gain from the Tories in West Oxfordshire but there was not huge progress anywhere else, once again showing the limitations to their improvement. They are still polling well enough for a 20% plus projected share though on what was a decent night for them.The story is less rosy for UKIP and Labour for whom this weeks results will heap more misery continuing the string of poor results. UKIP’s share was down everywhere, Labour’s was down everywhere except Harrow, which shows again London is performing in a more positive way for Labour than everywhere else in the country.
This week sees the Tories UK projected share lead over Labour increase to 6%. UKIP are now below 7% and the Lib Dems are down a bit but still above 20% on 20.4%. All the most recent numbers can be found here.
MOON OF LIBERTY ELECTION SCOREBOARD
Local by Election Results – 9th March 2017
Hailey, Minster Lovell & Leafield (W Oxfordshire) – LD 567 Con 504 Lab 71 UKIP 38 Green 35 – LD GAIN FROM CON – Swing (May 2016) Con-LD 15.1%
Roxbourne (Harrow) – Lab 1554 Con 533 LD 240 UKIP 148 – Lab Hold – Swing (May 2014) Con-Lab 7.1%
Hertford Castle (East Hertfordshire) – Con 593 Lab 207 LD 188 Green 154 UKIP 65 – Con Hold – Swing (May 2015) Lab-Con 5.5%
Exton (Rutland) – Con 238 LD 123 UKIP 39 – Con Hold – Swing (May 2015) Con-LD 2.5%
Red Horse (Straford Upon Avon) – Con 476 LD 266 UKIP 92 Green 58 – Con Hold – Swing (May 2015) Con-LD 14.6%
Derwent (Derby) – Con 789 Lab 611 UKIP 537 LD 192 – CON GAIN FROM UKIP – Swing (May 2016) UKIP-Con 2.7%
Waltham Cross (Broxbourne) – Con 650 Lab 646 UKIP 200 LD 89 – CON GAIN FROM LAB – Swing (May 2016) Lab-Con 5.6%